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Friday, December 28, 2007
Wednesday, December 5, 2007
Huckabee Pulls Ahead of Guiliani
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Wednesday shows a new national leader in the race for the Republican Presidential Nomination. While enjoying an amazing surge, Mike Huckabee has earned support from 20% of Likely Republican Primary Voters nationwide. Three points back, at 17%, is Rudy Giuliani. That’s the lowest level of support ever recorded for Giuliani in the tracking poll and represents a seven-point decline over the past week. Huckabee has gained eight points during the same time frame.
Just as significant as the new leader is the amazingly competitive nature of the race. Five candidates are within ten points of the lead and all five could conceivably become the party’s eventual nominee. In addition to Huckabee and Giuliani, John McCain and Mitt Romney are at 13%, and Fred Thompson is at 10%. In what could become a major moment in the campaign, Romney will give a speech on faith and religion Thursday. Huckabee recently declined to comment on Romney’s faith but did say it was appropriate to discuss religion in a campaign setting.
Huckabee has also moved in front of Hillary Clinton in the state of Arkansas.
Polls recently released by other firms have recently shown Huckabee surging but Giuliani still retaining his lead. For example, a recent Gallup poll showed Giuliani leading Huckabee by nine percentage points. The difference between the two results is partly the result of timing as Rasmussen Reports provides new information more frequently than any other firm. On the dates of the Gallup survey, Rasmussen Reports showed Giuliani still leading Huckabee by three. Since the Gallup survey was completed, Huckabee has gained a net six points over Giuliani.
Additionally, Rasmussen Reports screens for Likely Primary voters while Gallup surveyed Adults. Neither approach is necessarily right or wrong, but Primary Voters tend to be more conservative than Republicans generally. As a result, a poll that screens for Likely Primary Voters is likely to show more support for Huckabee than a poll that measures the opinions of Republican and Republican leaning adults.
It remains unclear whether the current round of Huck-a-mania is nothing more than Mike Huckabee’s fifteen minutes of fame of if the former Arkansas Governor has a serious chance of winning the Republican nomination. But, there is no doubt that he has shaken up the race-- Huckabee is also a frontrunner in Iowa, essentially tied for second in New Hampshire, and has pulled to within a single percentage point of Hillary Clinton in a general election match-up.
Just as significant as the new leader is the amazingly competitive nature of the race. Five candidates are within ten points of the lead and all five could conceivably become the party’s eventual nominee. In addition to Huckabee and Giuliani, John McCain and Mitt Romney are at 13%, and Fred Thompson is at 10%. In what could become a major moment in the campaign, Romney will give a speech on faith and religion Thursday. Huckabee recently declined to comment on Romney’s faith but did say it was appropriate to discuss religion in a campaign setting.
Huckabee has also moved in front of Hillary Clinton in the state of Arkansas.
Polls recently released by other firms have recently shown Huckabee surging but Giuliani still retaining his lead. For example, a recent Gallup poll showed Giuliani leading Huckabee by nine percentage points. The difference between the two results is partly the result of timing as Rasmussen Reports provides new information more frequently than any other firm. On the dates of the Gallup survey, Rasmussen Reports showed Giuliani still leading Huckabee by three. Since the Gallup survey was completed, Huckabee has gained a net six points over Giuliani.
Additionally, Rasmussen Reports screens for Likely Primary voters while Gallup surveyed Adults. Neither approach is necessarily right or wrong, but Primary Voters tend to be more conservative than Republicans generally. As a result, a poll that screens for Likely Primary Voters is likely to show more support for Huckabee than a poll that measures the opinions of Republican and Republican leaning adults.
It remains unclear whether the current round of Huck-a-mania is nothing more than Mike Huckabee’s fifteen minutes of fame of if the former Arkansas Governor has a serious chance of winning the Republican nomination. But, there is no doubt that he has shaken up the race-- Huckabee is also a frontrunner in Iowa, essentially tied for second in New Hampshire, and has pulled to within a single percentage point of Hillary Clinton in a general election match-up.
Saturday, December 1, 2007
Christmas Parade
Tonight, my family and I participated in our local Christmas parade with a Huckabee for President float. I have to admit that I was somewhat nervous. I wasn't sure exactly what the reaction would be. I told my husband beforehand that I would probably cry if I was booed. But, I had nothing to worry about.
Our float was very simple as I only had a few hours to prepare it. I made a mad dash to Wal-Mart around noon to buy supplies and candy. I bought chocolate in hopes that parents would steal it from their children like I do. ;) When I got home, the kids and I worked like mad putting labels on candy and making a banner to put on the back of my father-in-law's truck. I also bought bags of army men and added tags that said "Join Huck's Army" and the website address.
During the parade, my children rode in the back of the truck waving their Huckabee yard signs. My father-in-law and husband walked and handed out candy while I drove. The response was overwhelmingly favorable! There was an old lady that was booing so loudly that I was afraid she was going to pass out and one old man that yelled "Go home Huckabee". I figure he must really like Mike if he wanted him to come back!
There were many MANY people that were excited to see the Huckabee "float". People were yelling and clapping. I have to admit that I felt pretty stinkin' important. Now I know how Mike must feel when he walks in to a room and people clap and whistle.
"Go Mike" "Mike's doing great!" "Yeah Mike Huckabee". It was awesome!
I enjoyed driving, waving, and giving as well as receiving thumbs up. It was great!
It was said that this year's parade was bigger than it had been in many years. We estimated that there were a few thousand in attendance. For $50 in candy and 30 minutes that's an awful lot of people that we reached tonight. I would strongly encourage all of you to find a local parade to participate in this Christmas season. All you need is a yard sign and a smile. Oh, and maybe some army men. :)
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